Monday June 29, 2009

KARACHI: Increased budgetary borrowing (by Rs 19 billion) and improved net foreign assets of the banking system (up Rs 16 billion) along with a marginal increase in borrowing for commodity operations (Rs 3 billion) pushed up money supply during the week by Rs 24 billion after netting out the moderating effect of OINs reflecting an increase in other liabilities amounting to some Rs 14 billion.

Overall incremental money supply during FY09 to June 13 thus stood higher at Rs 338 billion, or 7.21 percent, represented by currency in circulation amounting to Rs 220 billion and deposit money amounting to Rs 118 billion. The increase during the week occurred entirely in deposit money, represented by an increase in demand and time deposits. No significant changes were observed in credit utilisation by the corporate sector including both the private sector and the PSEs.

All in all, net domestic assets (NDA) of the banking system, represented by public and private sectors indebtedness to the system's constituents, increased during the week by over Rs 8.5 billion to Rs 536.5 billion. Net foreign assets (NFA) of the banking system, in the meanwhile, improved by Rs 15.7 billion, reflecting lower depletion of foreign assets, which now stood reduced to Rs 198 billion.

The improvement in NFA was in line with the improvement in liquid foreign reserves of the country which surged from $11.515 billion on June 6 to over $11.643 billion on June 13. The surge over the week was shared by an increase of about $101 million in liquid reserves held by the central bank and an increase of about $27 million in liquid reserves held by the scheduled banks.

Among important developments during the week, government borrowing increased by Rs 22 billion to over Rs 600 billion as on June 13, 2009.

Within it, budgetary borrowing increased by Rs 19 billion to Rs 402 billion while borrowing for commodity operations by various government agencies and departments, which is principally for wheat procurement at present, increased by Rs 3 billion to over Rs 200 billion. Break-up of budgetary borrowing showed that almost entire borrowing during the week was made from the State Bank of Pakistan while borrowing from scheduled (mainly commercial) banks rose only by a negligible amount. Government's rising indebtedness to the central bank may pose serious problem for the government when it will come to meet the IMF targets of overall budgetary borrowing and, within it, the downward looking target of borrowing from the central bank. Maybe, the government has to go farther into the already aggressive borrowing made from non-bank elements or seek a benevolent review of the conditionals in view of the on-going operation against the militants in whose success IMF may be as interested as any other stakeholder.

NFA's details for component analytical accounts are available for the month of April 2009. According to this, NFA of the banking system depleted by about Rs 24.6 billion during April.

The entire depletion occurred on account of the State Bank of Pakistan as depletion at scheduled banks was only of a negligible amount. Further analysis of analytical accounts at the central bank showed that net depletion was a result of SBP's incremental claims on the non-residents, which showed an increase of about Rs 44.4 billion, adjusted for SBP's liabilities to the non-residents, which showed a much higher increase, of about Rs 69 billion, during the month.

The claims were in the form of monetary gold, etc, holdings of SDRs, foreign currency, deposits and securities other than shares, whereas liabilities were in the form of deposits, securities other than shares, and loans.


(BRecorder)

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