Saturday, September 05, 2009
Oil prices drop after US jobs data
Posted by imdurrani Labels: global economy, Oil prices, world financeWednesday, September 02, 2009
LAHORE - Public and private sector LPG producers in Pakistan are likely to increase prices by up to 15 percent for September, said the LPG Association of Pakistan (LPGAP) on Monday. Local LPG producer prices are likely to increase by $75/MT with effect from September 3 based on the increase in the Saudi CP, said an LPGAP spokesman. The Saudi Aramco Contract Price, which is the ceiling price for local LPG producers, has increased from $508/MT in August to $583/MT for September. This translates into an ex-producer plant price increase of Rs 7,221/MT or Rs 85 per 11.8kg cylinder or Rs 7.2 per kg. The spokesman said LPG prices have remained reasonable during Ramzan and well within the limits prescribed by the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority. Tuesday, September 01, 2009
LPGAP requests all LPG producers to keep price increases to a minimum during the month of Ramzan, said the spokesman. We have also requested LPG marketing companies and LPG distributors to price product within reasonable limits in order to benefit the general public. The spokesman said all stakeholders must work in concert to ensure prices remain stable. He said pricing information would continue to be provided by LPGAP for the information and benefit of the consumer and general public. The spokesman said record imports have been made in Pakistan during the current calendar year. With the import of 7,500 metric tonnes expected in the first half of September, sea-borne imports will have reached 57,616 metric tonnes which is an increase of 140 percent over the previous year, he added.
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
ISLAMABAD - By jacking up the petroleum prices by four to eight per cent, the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) Monday night added insult to injury of the masses who were already hard pressed under the general price hike that traditionally accentuates in Ramazan.
Oil price hits 10-month peak at $75
Posted by imdurrani Labels: global economy, Oil prices, world economy, world financeThursday, August 2 7, 2009 LONDON: World oil prices briefly struck 75 dollars per barrel on Tuesday for the first time in ten months, as traders reacted to rebounding consumer confidence in key energy consumer the United States. The rebound in confidence was stronger than the 47.9 reading that most analysts had expected. The index had hit an eight-month peak of 54.8 in May. The August data had a great deal of impact and was probably responsible for the whole move higher, Hart added. Consumer confidence is very closely tied to the US economy — 70 percent of the economy is driven by consumer spending and if the consumer is feeling better then that bodes well for the economy, which is good for energy demand. Crude futures had already powered to 10-month peaks on Monday amid growing hopes for global economic recovery and China s strong oil data. Markets also found a springboard from US Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke s positive comments on Friday about the outlook for recovery from global recession. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who was reappointed to a second four-year term on Tuesday, had said last week that prospects for growth appear good despite financial market strains. European Central Bank boss Trichet also predicted last week that the world s economic free fall was over. Oil prices have slumped since striking record highs above 147 dollars in July 2008 as a vicious global recession slashed energy demand. They have since clawed back ground on recovery hopes. The market also got a major boost on Monday from data out of China — the world s second-biggest energy consuming nation after the United States. Chinese demand for oil increased for the fourth consecutive month in July, said analysts at JBC Energy in Vienna. Year-on-year, oil consumption — excluding stock changes — was up by some 3.5 percent, they noted. Traders will switch their focus on Wednesday to the weekly oil inventories report from the US government s Department of Energy. Visit Finance.KalPoint.Com for latest financial stories...
In late afternoon trade here, New York s main contract, light sweet crude for October delivery, spiked to 75.00 dollars exactly — reaching a level last seen in October 2008 before the global recession. However, the contract later pulled back to 73.45 dollars, down 80 cents from Monday s closing level. And London Brent North Sea oil for October fell 42 cents to 73.95 dollars a barrel. It was very much a knee-jerk reaction, said Hanson Westhouse analyst David Hart, adding that there was a lack of buying interest to maintain prices above the key 75-dollar level. The logical conclusion to draw is that prices are going to go higher, Hart added. US consumer confidence rose more than expected in August after two consecutive months of declines, buoyed by a jump in recovery hopes for the coming months, the Conference Board announced on Tuesday. The business research firm said its consumer confidence index climbed to 54.1 in August from an upwardly revised 47.4 in July.
SINGAPORE: Oil prices were up in Asian trade Thursday after a massive rally in US stocks stoked hopes of an early rebound for the global economy, analysts said.
New York's main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, rose 15 cents to 61.69 dollars a barrel.
Brent North Sea crude for August delivery advanced six cents to 63.15 dollars. The contract will expire later Thursday.
Analysts said oil prices were lifted by overnight gains on Wall Street, with the US Federal Reserve's improved outlook for the US economy giving an additional boost.
"It's the surge in technological and financial stocks on Wall Street that's spilling into the Asian equity markets," said Victor Shum, senior principal of energy consultants Purvin and Gertz in Singapore.
This pulled oil prices higher, he added.
"Oil market sentiment was buoyed by gains on US equity markets," the Commonwealth Bank of Australia also said in a report.
Wall Street closed strongly on Wednesday, spurred on by surprisingly good results from tech giant Intel and an improved outlook by the Federal Reserve for the world's biggest economy.
The US central bank raised its outlook for 2009 and 2010, projecting a rebound in the second half of 2009 that would leave the economic contraction for the year at between 1.0 and 1.5 percent.
Markets worldwide closely monitor the health of the US economy because of its role as a key engine for global growth.
A stronger global economy means more demand for oil to power industries and other economic activities, leading to higher prices.
(AFP)
SINGAPORE: Oil was higher in Asian trade Wednesday but any further sharp gains were likely to be capped by worries over weak US energy demand, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery, advanced 60 cents to 60.12 dollars a barrel after closing Tuesday 17 cents lower at 59.52 dollars, it’s lowest since May 18.
Brent North Sea crude for August delivery gained 74 cents to 61.60 dollars.
Keeping a lid on prices are expectations of another build-up in US oil stockpiles when the Department of Energy (DoE) releases its weekly inventory report later Wednesday, analysts said.
A Dow Jones Newswires poll of analysts expects the DoE report to show a 900,000-barrel rise in gasoline reserves in the week to July 10, indicating anaemic demand in the world's biggest economy and energy user.
"The world is facing a glut of oil," Morgan Stanley's commodity analysts said in a report.
Last week's DoE report also showed an increase in gasoline reserves, which are widely monitored at this time of year when the US summer holiday driving season kicks into gear.
Also likely to weigh on prices are comments by US President Barack Obama that he expects the unemployment rate, currently at 9.5 percent, to rise further.
"This has been a more severe recession than we've seen since the Great Depression," Obama said Tuesday, adding that the United States would "probably continue to see unemployment tick up for several months."
Uncertainty over the global economy, particularly the US, will weigh on commodity prices in the next few months, analysts from Barclays Capital said.
"While the long-term outlook for a broad range of commodities still appears positive, there is less certainty over the short-term," they said in a report.
"The commodity price rally is likely to prove very sensitive to any faltering in the economic recovery story."
(AFP)
Oil falls below 60 dollars in New York
Posted by imdurrani Labels: global economy, Oil prices, US, world financeSaturday July 11, 2009 |
| NEW YORK: Oil closed below the psychological barrier of 60 dollars a barrel in New York Friday as the market focused on weak demand and risks of deflation amid a steep global downturn. New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August settled at 59.89 dollars a barrel, shedding 52 cents from its Thursday close. In intraday trade the futures contract sank to 58.72 dollars, the lowest level since May 18 and nearly 15 dollars below last week's peaks. In London, Brent North Sea crude for August delivery dropped 58 cents to close at 60.52 dollars a barrel. The plunge in oil prices came almost exactly one year after the two contracts struck all-time highs above 147 dollars on July 11, 2008. Analysts said the bears were set to dominate the market for an extended period as the global economy grapples with the worst recession in decades, with no clear sign of recovery in view despite unprecedented efforts by governments to jumpstart growth. "Sixty is not so nifty today as slowing demand fears now possess the energy complex," said Phil Flynn of PFG Best Research. "The oil market reflects the darkening outlook for economic growth." Mike Fitzpatrick of MF Global said that market participants "sharpened their focus on the still struggling global economy" where hopes for a swift recovery were diminishing rapidly. "There have been few, if any, signs of sustainable economic growth," he said. "What can be quantified, though, are growing joblessness and rising savings rate, which suggests that consumers, who have led past recoveries, are still in a state of shock." The International Energy Agency, in a report Friday, forecast demand would be effectively unchanged this year before rebounding by 1.7 percent in 2010. The IEA report highlighted "the uncertainty swirling around the oil market for 2009, 2010 and beyond." Flynn said that deflation fears had again trumped inflation fears in the market. "Unless there is a major change in the economic outlook or some immediate stimulus, the bears will again rule" into the end of this year, he added. Possible regulatory changes in the United States also were weighing on the market, analysts said. Barclays Capital analysts said in a client note that the market was under pressure from "a significant increase in both regulatory risk and in the price volatility related to what in the worst case could prove to be an extended period of regulatory uncertainty." (AFP) |
US crude prices slid below $59 a barrel in their biggest weekly decline since late January, while both the Dow and S&P 500, along with European shares, notched a fourth straight week of losses.
Crude's 10 percent slide this week has underscored worries that the recovery will be weaker than originally hoped and that second-quarter corporate results, which are just starting to be released, are unlikely to surprise much on the upside.
US consumers' moods soured in early July on persistent worries about jobs, the Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers showed, offering little hope that consumer spending will help a sputtering economy.
"The Michigan number was a bit of a disappointment," said Mike Lenhoff, chief strategist at Brewin Dolphin Securities in London.
Some economic data points have failed to meet expectations the economy will pick up this year, said Cleveland Rueckert, market analyst at Birinyi Associates in Stamford, Connecticut.
"People are starting to question whether the economic recovery is going to take place in the latter part of this year or whether it's going to come next year," Rueckert said.
The disappointing outlook late Thursday from Chevron Corp , the second-largest US oil company, set the tone for equity markets worldwide.
MSCI's all-country world index fell 0.6 percent. Chevron fell 2.7 percent, the top Dow decliner.
Few companies will raise their outlooks during this reporting season, said David Katz, chief investment officer at Matrix Asset Advisors in New York.
"There's no incentive to step up and talk up the future, especially because there's low visibility," Katz said. "Our expectation is that companies are going to do what they've been doing: beating expectations but setting a low bar and being cautious."
The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 36.65 points, or 0.45 percent, at 8,146.52 and The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> slid 3.55 points, or 0.40 percent, at 879.13.
But the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.48 points, or 0.20 percent, at 1,756.03 as the tech-rich Nasdaq outperformed the wider market.
Goldman Sachs upgraded the US hardware and software sectors to "attractive" from "neutral," citing potential growth in demand from businesses.
In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 index of top regional shares fell 1.1 percent to close at 814.29 points, its lowest close in more than 10 weeks.
Oil fell in the sixth of the last seven trading sessions.
US crude settled down 52 cents to $59.89 a barrel, while London Brent crude fell 58 cents to settle at $60.52 a barrel.
"The mood has changed and people are losing confidence about the economic recovery," said Simon Wardell at IHS Global Insight. "We are in one of those phases where no matter what happens in other markets oil will go down."
US Treasuries rallied, pushing benchmark yields to seven-week lows, as investors jumped back into debt on relief the market digested this week's sale of $73 billion in long-dated supply without much of a hitch.
"The recession hasn't really bottomed out," said Anne Ruff, a portfolio manager with Rydex Investments in Rockville, Maryland. "The bond market should continue to rally."
New York gold futures finished lower in light trade as worries about economic growth reduced bullion's appeal as an inflation hedge. Most other commodities also fell.
The August contract settled down $3.70 at $912.50 an ounce in New York.
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury note was up 31/32 in price to yield 3.3 percent. The 2-year US Treasury note was up 2/32 in price to yield 0.89 percent.
The dollar rose against a basket of major currencies, with the US Dollar Index up 0.47 percent at 80.243. Against the yen, the dollar was down 0.58 percent.
The euro was down 0.55 percent at $1.3947.
Amid the gloomy outlook, rates on dollar, euro and sterling funds that banks lend among themselves eased again, with benchmark three-month rates hitting record lows as money markets remained flush with central bank liquidity.
"They're going to keep an ultra accommodative policy in place and supply whatever liquidity that is necessary," said Sean Maloney, rate strategist at Nomura in London.
Uncertainty over earnings and the prospect for economic recovery led Asian shares lower, with Japanese shares sliding to near seven-week lows.
Japan's Nikkei average shed just 0.04 percent, falling for an eighth straight session, while MSCI's measure of stocks elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region edged up during the Asia session, but later fell 0.4 percent.
(Reuters)
PDL Ordinance challenged in SC
Posted by imdurrani Labels: budget, Oil prices, Pak Economy, pakistan| Friday July 10, 2009 |
| ISLAMABAD: The Petroleum Development Levy Ordinance 2009 has been challenged in Supreme Court (SC), Aaj News reported on Friday. Chaudhry Ikram, the lawyer of Shoaib Shahid has filed a petition challenging the presidential ordinance and stated that president has no right to impose tax under constitution article number 77. The president had signed the ordinance on the advice of prime minister to raise petroleum prices and restored them to July 7 position. (Aaj Tv) |
| Friday, July 10, 2009 |
| SINGAPORE: Oil traded below 61 dollars in Asian trade Friday, surrendering overnight gains amid persistent worries over the weak global economy, analysts said. New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery was 33 cents lower at 60.08 dollars a barrel Brent North Sea crude for August delivery eased 30 cents to 60.80 dollars. New York crude tumbled below the 60-dollar mark in intra-day trade Thursday, the first time since May 26. The contract has lost more than 13 dollars from its highs last month. "When we take a step back, the correction doesn't surprise us," said Gavin Wendt, a Sydney-based mining and resources analyst with Fat Prophets research consultancy. Crude prices rose above 73 dollars early last month, up more than 60 percent since the start of the year, fuelled partly by a weak US dollar and overly upbeat hopes of a recovery in the global economy, analysts said. "The demand-supply situation doesn't justify that sort of a rapid rise over such a short period of time," said Wendt. "It left itself vulnerable to some degree of correction especially when the demand situation hasn't justified that sort of price rise." A weekly energy reserves report released Wednesday by the US Department of Energy is also weighing down on crude prices as gasoline stocks rose by a bigger-than-expected 1.9 million barrels in the week to July 3. The US is the world's biggest oil consumer and the gasoline data is closely monitored at this time of the year because consumption typically picks up when Americans take to the roads for their summer holidays. US oil product stockpiles have ballooned in recent weeks because of weak demand amid a severe recession, and overall oil demand over the past four weeks was down 5.9 percent from the same period in 2008. "With crude oil and petroleum product inventories at very high levels, we think any near-term upside to oil prices will be limited," Francisco Blanch said in a Bank of America Securities-Merrill Lynch research report. (AFP) |
SC suspends Carbon surcharge on POL products
Posted by imdurrani Labels: budget, Oil prices, Pak Economy, pakistan| Wednesday July 08, 2009 |
| ISLAMABAD: The Supreme Court on Tuesday suspended the operation of notification issued by the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) on June 30/July 1 pertaining to imposition of 'carbon surcharge' on petroleum products. The court directed the Ogra to issue a fresh notification in compliance with the orders of the court. "This arrangement is being made temporarily; the final decision would be taken on later, after going through the detailed report submitted by the Commission (headed by Justice Rana Bhagwandas looking into the oil pricing mechanism) and other components," said Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry in the order. A carbon tax is an environmental tax on emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. In other words it is an example of a pollution tax. In this regard, the court summoned Secretary, Ministry of Environment, on July 9 (next date of hearing) along with the summary (if any) for the purpose of imposing carbon tax. According to budget documents, a development surcharge on petroleum products was levied under the petroleum products (Development Surcharge) Ordinance 1961 and rules were framed accordingly. The word 'development surcharge' was substituted with the words 'Petroleum Development Levy' (PDL) on June 29, 2001. In budget 2009-10, PDL has been converted into 'carbon surcharge' on POL products. Attorney-General Latif Khosa asked the court that it could not withdraw carbon surcharge as it was approved by the parliament through the Finance Bill 2009. Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry made it clear that the court had merely suspended the operation of notification issued by the Ogra regarding imposition of the tax. Khosa then pleaded with the court to replace 'carbon tax' with the 'PDL', saying that otherwise the budget, already in deficit, would be disturbed. The court declined to take its words back and asked him to argue the point on next date of hearing, saying, Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry observed that 'carbon surcharge' was not the only means to bridge the deficit. Justice Chaudhry Ijaz Ahmed, after being disturbed by the helplessness of the citizen of the country, observed that the spirit of the constitution is welfare of the state and all the organs help in this respect. The document of constitution is made for the people of Pakistan but in last 60 years nothing has been done for them, he added. Advocate Ikram Chaudhry, counsel for Zafar Iqbal Jhagra, censuring the carbon tax, said that saving a poor was much more important than the environment. A three-member bench of the apex court, comprising Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, Justice Chaudhry Ijaz Ahmed and Justice Mahmood Akhtar Shahid Siddiqui, heard the petition of Zafar Iqbal Jhagra, of PML-N, against hike in petroleum prices and overcharging worth billions of rupees by the government on petroleum products. According to the Finance Bill 2009-10 and the notification issued by Ogra the government is charging Rs 8 per litre carbon surcharge on high speed diesel oil (HSDO), Rs 10 per litre on motor spirit (MS), Rs 6 per litre on kerosene oil, Rs 3 per litre on light diesel oil (LDO) and Rs 14 per litre on HOBC. The calculation reveals that the impact of this surcharge is equivalent to 17 percent hike in prices of petroleum products. The court asked Khawaja Saeed Zafar to inform it who had proposed for imposition of carbon surcharge and what was the purpose. In order to ascertain the price difference with imposition of carbon surcharge the court asked Khawaja Saeed to give break-up of prices of petrol, diesel and kerosene oil as it stood on June 30, prior to the issuance of notification, and July 1, after the notification. On June 30, per litre price of petrol was Rs 56.21 and it included Rs 31.91 ex-refinery price, Rs 10.54 PDL, Rs 1.39 oil marketing companies' margin, Rs 2.88 inland freight charges, Rs 1.74 dealers' margin and Rs 7.75 sales tax. On July 1, after the withdrawal of PDL and imposition of carbon surcharge, the price of petrol per litre was Rs 62.13 and it included Rs 36.59 ex-refinery price, Rs 10 for carbon surcharge, Rs 1.60 oil marketing companies' margin, Rs 3.37 inland freight charges, Rs 2 dealers' margin and Rs 8.57 sales tax. The price of diesel on June 30 was Rs 55.71 per litrer and it included Rs 34.78 ex-refinery price, Rs 8.53 PDL, Rs 1.35 oil marketing companies' margin, Rs 2.22 inland freight charges, Rs 1.50 dealers' margin and Rs 7.68 sales tax. On July 1, after the withdrawal of PDL and imposition of carbon surcharge, the price of diesel per litre was Rs 62.65 and it included Rs 40.94 ex-refinery price, Rs 8 for carbon surcharge, Rs 1.35 oil marketing companies margin, Rs 2.22 inland freight charges, Rs 1.50 dealers' margin and Rs 8.64 sales tax. Similarly, the price of kerosene oil on June 30 was 51.87 per liter and it included Rs 32.77 ex-refinery price, Rs 6.88 PDL, Rs 1.46 oil marketing companies' margin, Rs 3.61 inland freight charges and Rs 7.15 sales tax. On July 1, after the withdrawal of PDL and imposition of carbon surcharge the price of kerosene oil per litre was Rs 59.35 and it included Rs 39.26 ex-refinery price, Rs 6 for carbon surcharge, Rs 1.74 oil marketing companies' margin, Rs 4.16 inland freight charges and Rs 8.19 sales tax. The court expressed displeasure over change in inland freight charges and dealers' margin, saying that these have to be constant. It was also revealed that sales tax was charged over the cumulative price including other taxes, meaning thereby it was a kind of double taxation. The court termed it illegal, saying that tax on other taxes cannot be levied. At court's query, Mehmood Saleem, Secretary, Petroleum, informed the court that 80 percent of petrol and 30 percent of diesel was produced within the country, and the rest was imported. The court adjourned the hearing till July 9. (BRecorder) |
Oil remains under 63 dollars
Posted by imdurrani Labels: Asia, global economy, Oil prices, world financeSINGAPORE: Oil remained under 63 dollars a barrel in Asian trade Wednesday amid rising concerns that a recovery from the worldwide recession was unlikely to happen soon.
In morning trade New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery, was down 63 cents to 62.30 dollars a barrel, extending sharp falls in US trade overnight.
Brent North Sea crude for delivery in August eased 58 cents to 62.65.
New York crude has lost more than 11 dollars and Brent over 10 dollars since June 30 when prices for both contracts rose to more than 73 dollars a barrel, their highest levels this year.
"Oil continues to trade along with the financial markets," said Victor Shum, an analyst with energy consultancy Purvin and Gertz in Singapore.
"Weeks ago, both stock markets and oil markets traded hand in hand going up. Now, stock markets are tumbling and oil is also tumbling, and that's because of renewed concerns that the recovery from the global recession is likely to be slow."
Doubts over a global economic bounce were rekindled following the June unemployment report in the United States, which showed a bigger-than-expected number of jobs losses.
On Tuesday, Laura Tyson, a member of US President Barack Obama's Economic Advisory Panel, said the United States may need a second stimulus package to put the world's biggest economy firmly on the path to recovery.
Investors are also being cautious as companies around the world start reporting their June quarter earnings, which could give an indication on the health of the global economy and its prospects for the rest of the year, Shum said.
"For oil futures, the fundamentals have been weak all along so the pullback is consistent with the weak fundamentals," he said, referring to demand lagging a glut in oil supplies.
Shum said that with appetite for risky assets in check, investors are going for relatively safer investments such as the US dollar, pushing the US currency higher.
A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for holders of weaker currencies, a situation that dampens demand for the commodity and leads to lower prices.
Prices are likely to fall below 60 dollars in the near term, Shum said.
(AFP)
Oil falls in Asian trade
Posted by imdurrani Labels: Asia, global economy, Oil prices, world financeFriday July 03, 2009
SINGAPORE: Oil fell further during Asian trade Friday as investors continued to fret about the state of the US economy where the jobless rate has surged to a 26-year high, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery, eased 38 cents to 66.35 dollars a barrel.
Brent North Sea crude for August delivery sank 57 cents to 66.08 dollars
"The US employment report was a negative for the oil price," said David Moore, a Sydney-based commodity analyst with the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
Data released Thursday showed US job losses surged to 467,000 in June, pushing the unemployment rate to a 26-year high of 9.5 percent.
The latest report, seen as one of the best indicators of economic momentum, reversed the improvement seen last month when job losses fell to a revised 322,000.
Since the recession began in the United States in December 2007, the world's biggest economy and also the biggest energy user has lost 6.5 million jobs and the jobless rate has risen 4.6 percentage points.
"Risk aversion returned with a vengeance yesterday after a disappointing US labour market report for June," said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist with SJS Markets trading firm.
Oil prices are likely to remain under pressure until economic data point to a firm turnaround in US economic fortunes, which will in turn lead to stronger energy demand, analysts said.
"Beyond any help arising from equities... crude oil market fundamentals look fragile. No doubt, a rally in equities or a weaker US dollar could support higher oil prices," Merrill Lynch analysts said in a report.
"But anyway you cut it, oil demand is still extremely weak.... In sum, we believe oil prices will struggle to push higher over the next three months," they said.
A weak US unit makes dollar-priced oil cheaper for buyers using stronger foreign currencies and this usually pushes up demand and lifts crude futures prices.
(AFP)
Thursday July 02, 2009
SINGAPORE: Oil prices recovered modestly but remained below 70 dollars in Asian trade Thursday after overnight losses on US energy demand concerns, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery was 14 cents firmer at 69.45 dollars. Brent North Sea crude for August delivery rose 10 cents to 68.89 dollars a barrel.
Crude fell at the close of US trading Wednesday as investors focused on weak American gasoline demand indicated by the latest government data which showed petrol stocks rising by 2.3 million barrels in the week ending June 26.
Distillates, which include diesel and heating fuel, increased by 2.9 million barrels in the same period, the data released by the US Department of Energy Wednesday showed.
Gasoline demand traditionally increases at this time of the year when Americans take to the roads for their summer holidays but the recession that began late last year is still taking a toll on US consumers, analysts said.
"Product demand is simply awful. Products built more than expected, and the expectations were already bearish," said Hussein Allidina of Morgan Stanley Research.
Going forward, the direction of crude prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the state of the global economy, especially that of the United States, the world's biggest energy user, analysts said.
Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist with SJS Markets trading house, said recent data showed the global economy was on the mend but cautioned that "concerns remained over the pace of the coming recovery."
"As a result of the markets seeing the glass half full, risk appetite increased," Kowalczyk said.
Analysts were waiting for the results of a meeting later Thursday of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers although most said they expected the bank to leave interest rates at an all-time low of 1.0 percent.
"There is little chance of fresh measures to boost liquidity and it is unlikely that the ECB delivers another rate cut," analysts from Singapore's DBS Bank said.
"Therefore, the ECB's assessment on the economy is also unlikely to be changed materially."
(AFP)
Carbon surcharge: POL products' prices increased
Posted by imdurrani Labels: budget, Oil prices, Pak Economy, pakistanISLAMABAD: The government has increased the price of petrol by Rs 5.92 per litre, light diesel Rs 6.94, kerosene oil Rs 7.48 and HOBC Rs 8.50 per litre. With this increase, the price of per litre petrol has surged to Rs 62.13, HOBC Rs 78.78, light diesel oil Rs 54.94 and kerosene oil to Rs 59.35 per litre.
Prime Minister Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani is reported to have approved the summary of the petroleum ministry in line with the decision taken in the budget as well as due to rise in world oil prices. However, the Minister for Information denied that approval for increase in POL prices was given by the Prime Minister saying that he has no role in this increase as the oil pricing mechanism was tied with the international market.
The increase in POL products prices from July 1 was because of rise in the oil prices in the international market. Advisor to the Prime Minister on Petroleum, Dr Asim Hussain earlier during the day told media the prices of petroleum products have been increased whereas gas prices were reduced for household and industrial use.
The new gas rates, he said would be applicable from July with the 2 percent reduction in the gas price for all the five slabs of domestic consumers and 4.46 percent for Independent Power Producers, captive power and the industries. The advisor said that gas price was slightly increased for fertiliser sector and there would be no reduction in the price of CNG for the next six months.
Dr Asim said that PDL was replaced with the carbon surcharge to introduce transparency in the oil pricing mechanism. The revenue target was projected at Rs 122 billion in 2009-10 from the levy of carbon surcharge that is applicable on petroleum products from today (Wednesday) at the rate of Rs 10 per litre on petrol, Rs 6 on kerosene oil, Rs 3 on Light Diesel Oil (LDO), Rs 14 on HOBC and for high speed diesel (HSD) it is Rs 8 per litre.
(BRecorder)
APP adds: Minister for Information and Broadcasting, Qamar Zaman Kaira has clarified a news item being aired on different private TV channels regarding approval of increase in petroleum prices by the Prime Minister. The minister said according to new policy, which has been formally approved in budget 2009-10, the Prime Minister need not to increase the prices on his own.
According to new formula, he said, the prices will be adjusted automatically according to international market price trends. "The current increase in prices is according to this formula," he further clarified the reports that the Prime Minister had approved the summary for increase in petroleum prices.
Oil rises above 70 dollars
Posted by imdurrani Labels: Asia, global economy, Oil prices, world financeWednesday July 01, 2009
SINGAPORE: Oil rebounded in Asian trade Wednesday after falling overnight on figures showing declining consumer confidence in the United States, the world's biggest energy user, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery rose 66 cents to 70.55 dollars.
Brent North Sea crude for August delivery advanced 75 cents to 70.05 dollars.
Analysts expect the rebound in crude prices, coming mainly on the back of investors looking for an alternative to equities, to be temporary amid fresh worries about US energy demand.
"Markets have paused for breath over the past month as risk appetite has begun to show signs of waning," analysts from London-based Capital Economics research house said in a report.
"We had not expected investors to lose their enthusiasm quite so soon.... We suspect that investors will be ultimately disappointed by the strength of the economic recovery, which is likely to feed back into greater risk aversion later in the year."
It said commodities including oil "have generally continued to do well, although the rally is now running out of steam."
Figures released Tuesday by the Conference Board, a business research group, showed that US consumer confidence sank in June as Americans fretted about the recession and vanishing jobs.
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index retreated to 49.3 points in June from a revised 54.8 in May, an eight-month high. Most analysts expected a much stronger reading of 55.3 points.
"The decline in the present situation index, caused by a less favourable assessment of business conditions and employment, continues to imply that economic conditions, while not as weak as earlier this year, are nonetheless weak," said Lynn Franco, research director of the Conference Board.
Oil prices have increased dramatically -- by 40 percent, or more than 20 dollars -- in the second quarter on rising confidence that the global slump is easing.
It closed at 49.66 dollars on March 31, which was the last day of the first quarter.
(AFP)
Oil pushes past 72 dollars on Nigerian unrest
Posted by imdurrani Labels: Asia, Oil prices, world finance
SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose above 72 dollars in Asian trade Tuesday as tensions in Nigeria, a key African crude producer, rattled investor sentiment, analysts said.New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery, put on 1.08 dollars to 72.57 dollars.
Brent North Sea crude for August delivery leaped 1.21 dollars to 72.20.
Nigerian rebels said Monday they raided a Shell facility and killed at least 20 soldiers in a gun battle, a claim denied by security forces.
A Shell spokesman, however, confirmed the raid and said production had been affected.
"Reports of another Nigeria attack seems to give the market a boost, as well as a report that China is going to add to its strategic petroleum reserves," said Phil Flynn of Alaron Trading.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) militants said the Shell Forcados off-shore platform in Delta state was burning "after a massive explosion" following their 2:30 am (0330 GMT) raid.
Monday's raid was just the latest in a series that have targeted Shell facilities this month and which have continued despite last Thursday's offer from President Umaru Yar'Adua of an amnesty for the militants.
Weekend reports that China planned to increase strategic crude oil reserves by 60 percent to 270 million barrels during the next five years also boosted prices, Flynn said.
"If China continues to strengthen its reserve then oil will be bought on pullbacks. This should help provide some long term support," he said.
Oil prices have steadily gained ground in recent weeks on hopes of a global economic recovery and persistent weakness in the US dollar which makes dollar-priced crude cheaper for holders of foreign currencies.
(AFP)
Oil extends losses on economic concerns
Posted by imdurrani Labels: global economy, Oil prices, world finance
SINGAPORE: Oil slipped further in Asian trade Monday as investors continued to worry over the st
ate of the US economy, the world's biggest energy user, analysts said.New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery dropped 70 cents to 68.46 dollars a barrel while Brent North Sea crude for August delivery sank 68 cents to 68.24 dollars.
Both contracts closed lower Friday.
"Oil pricing is under pressure from concerns regarding the weak oil demand in the US," said Victor Shum, a Singapore-based analyst with energy consultancy Purvin and Gertz.
Crude fell at the end of last week during US trading hours after official data released Friday showed spending by American consumers rose a weak 0.3 percent in May from April, supported mainly by a massive government stimulus.
Personal savings rate shot up to a 16-year high, indicating consumers were wary of spending amid rising unemployment and plummeting home values, the data showed.
The report by the Commerce Department is widely watched because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of US economic activity and is considered key to recovery from the severe recession that began in December 2007.
Crude prices have spiked up in recent weeks, boosted in part by the weak US dollar which means lower oil cost for purchasers using foreign currencies.
New unrest in oil-producing Nigeria was another factor which saw crude prices rising above 71 dollars at one stage during intra-day trading Friday, analysts said.
"Oil markets continue to monitor developments in Nigeria. In recent weeks, militants have attacked oil industry infrastructure in Nigeria," said David Moore, a commodity strategist with the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.
Nigeria, once Africa's leading oil producer, has seen its oil production affected by militants who claim they are fighting for a fairer share of oil wealth for impoverished communities in the Niger Delta.
The African country now produces about 1.8 million barrels of oil a day compared with 2.6 million in 2006.
(AFP)
Oil prices fall after weak US data
Posted by imdurrani Labels: global economy, Oil prices, world financeSaturday June 27, 2009
NEW YORK: Oil prices fell Friday as traders booked profits from a strong rally and fretted about lackluster US consumer spending and new unrest in oil-producing Nigeria.
New York's main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, tumbled 1.07 dollars a barrel to close at 69.16 dollars. It had risen 1.56 dollars Thursday.
In London, Brent North Sea crude for August dipped 86 cents to 68.92 dollars.
"There are a lot of concerns about the spending data," said Ellis Eckland, an independent trader.
"We are in the driving season and the (gasoline) demand remains weak," he added.
The Commerce Department reported US consumer spending rose a tepid 0.3 percent in May from April, mainly as a result of a massive government stimulus launched by President Barack Obama.
The data showed that the personal savings rate shot up to a 16-year high, indicating consumers were wary of spending amid rising unemployment and plummeting home values.
The report particularly weighed on markets because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of US economic activity and is considered key to recovery from the severe recession that began in December 2007.
Traders focused on the weakness in US gasoline demand in the run-up to the July 4 Independence Day holiday, which falls on Saturday this year.
"Normally, demand for gas should be peaking as the July 4 holiday approaches," said Mike Fitzpatrick of MF Global.
The American Automobile Association (AAA) earlier this week projected that the number of Americans taking off for the long holiday weekend, with July 3
being celebrated as the holiday this year, would fall 1.9 percent from 2008.
Meanwhile, the market kept an eye on rebel violence in Nigeria that has crippled oil supplies.
Crude futures had bounced higher in earlier trade after Nigeria's main rebel group said it had launched a fresh attack against an oil installation in the south of the country.
"The intensity of recent attacks have taken the market by surprise and tightened West African oil supplies," MF Global's Fitzpatrick said.
(AFP)
"Pipeline bombings, attacks on oil and gas installations, and the kidnapping of industry workers over the past several years have prevented Nigeria from pumping much above two-thirds of its installed oil output capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day," he said.
